prospect theory

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The Behavioral Economics of Price-Setting

Prospect theory proposes that when making decisions people use a reference point to frame prospective alternative outcomes as either potential gains or losses; when considering prospective gains, they are risk-averse and prefer certainty, but when considering prospective losses, they are risk-prone and prefer to risk the possibility of larger but uncertain losses. However, when setting prices people make decisions that contradict prospect theory: they are risk prone when cutting prices with the prospect of revenue gains, and risk averse when raising prices that they associate with perceived revenue losses.

All’s Well That Ends Better: The Need for an Emotionally Rewarding Finish Leads to Risk Taking at the End

New research shows how our motivational need for an emotionally rewarding ending affects decision-making.

How I Taught Prospect Theory to My Son

By Diogo Gonçalves   Dear son, today I want to talk to you about how people make decisions. Many choices in our lives have uncertain outcomes. Choosing between two alternatives often involves a risk, such as whether you should spend your birthday money on a new bicycle or on a PlayStation. Each choice is like two sides of a coin: there is a [...]

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